Monday, July 4, 2011

Schedule Updating and Cost Control

Through the utilization of tools, processes and expert judgment, along with a good change order process, we can determine within reasonable accuracy the projected duration, effort and cost of a Project or Turnaround.
Once we have created a baselined the scope, schedule and budget we are ready for the execution phase to be initiated, right?

From an SPI (Schedule Performance Indicator) perspective...theoretically...yes, all should be well and good. However the challenge of activity update accuracy often creates a new dimension to project control. When creating the schedule baseline, approved estimating tools along with subject matter experts were employed to decompose the activities to a level of accuracy to meet the needs of the Work Package. Unfortunately, during the execution phase the level of completeness is compromised and the schedule is at risk of being undermined due to inaccurate estimates of remaining duration or activity percent complete. It seems that more often than not, extra effort is required to effectively evaluate completeness of given activities, even when not started or finished. Appreciating craft personnel are experts at the safe inspection, cleaning and repair of assets to endure another cycle of heavy usage, the relevance of adequate schedule updates is often seen as secondary. Notably much of the effort is focused on the functional aspects of the work package with the practice of updating scheduled activities within a high level of confidence is demanding at best.

From a CPI (Cost Performance Indicator) perspective reporting actual cost via the Work Order (deliverable) process involves discipline from all resources completing timesheets. When a passive approach is applied the variance within planned vs actual cost are not  accurately represented. The reliability of information is then, not trustworthy, effecting budget controls and estimating. This becomes increasingly more challenging when components of the scope are joint venture activities, as reconciling costs after the fact is nearly impossible. Even with a flexible management group with excellent understanding of the effort required to support the work completed...one party could be subjective to unrealistic costs incurred due to inaccurate timesheet charges. The end result is rework and a negative view of the project team.

It seems that much of the Project Management methodologies, processes and practices concentrate on the development and establishing of tools and techniques that enable a clear pathway for the stakeholders involved in the management of the scope. The fact is...we cannot underestimate the realities we cultivate when not deploying the initiatives and expectations to the resource level. The seemingly innocent indiscretions of any stakeholder group or individual can easily, negatively all areas of the project including budget, schedule, quality.

Through the years, I have learned, as a scheduler, the importance of touring the site at least once per day. The increased presence in the field develops a relationship with the craft people, enables better understanding of the status of work packages and provides a platform to ask relevant questions during the daily Turnaround Status Meeting.

Being involved in Turnaround projects adopting daily costing aligned with schedule updates aids in more cost accuracy.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dear Mike,

this blog is very informative.
I have few questions.

1) how can we get maximum utilization of the cost part in the PLANNING ANS SCHEDULING period.
In my case till now we have not cost loaded and analysed the schedule till now in any of my projects.
but i want to cost load the project now in the planning phase to estimate the resources(labor/non labor), manterials etc.
so i need your guidance in this matter

Mike Grabill PMP said...

I find the WBS to be essential when producing reports down to the Work Package (Work Order). With this said...each Work Order in the CMMS is costed. This cost can be mirrored in the schedule software.

The labor and nonlabor rates will be in the CMMS. I use these rates for the period of the TAR. However you must set up the schedule with OT rates as well.

Assign the rates to TAR labor/nonlabor resources and load as detailed in the work package. This will provide you with a decent baseline cost. Compare this cost with the initial budget to ensure consistency.

I am assuming the goal is to perform EVA. The challenge being time, effort and accurate field updates. The key is to success would be definitive update that include remaining duration per activity, actual start and finish times, actual resources utilized for each activity. This would require much extra time for each focal point providing updates as well as making updating a real challenge. Capital projects schedule reports are distributed bi-weekly or monthly this relatively manageable. During the TAR this is a real challenge, especially when updates are completed on a 12hr rotation.

Much depends on the level of accuracy required. Try creating LOE activities at a given WBS level loaded with a dummy resource, given rate and curve. This will provide you with decent data.

Really I have found EVA for TAR to exceed the tipping point.

Hopefully this helps

Anonymous said...

Dear Mike,

your reply is very encouraging.
I am presently working on primavera 6 in my company for the TA projects,But unfortunatly till now we have not cost loaded the schedule for any of our previous projects.This gap i would like to fill in for my present project.Though you have briefed very clearly the approach for EVA in TA,i am still not getting the flow of work.

So is there any remote possibility for me to ask you for any of your previuos TA projects where you have cost loaded and done EVA.
this will give me the basis for understanding of how schedule can be cost laoded.

Please extend your support

thank you....

rgds

Mike Grabill PMP said...

The best advice I can provide is to create a copy of one of your smaller, less complex schedules (or create a "Test" Schedule) load costs and run through the process like you would during the real event. Take the reports to the Steeing Committee and ensure this is the type of reporting they find of value.

I have found a 1 page Dashboard report, based on 24hr period, work very well for Core Team and above. Items typically included - Top 5 significant events, Top 5 Risks, Top 5 Opportunities, Change Orders (including Status and est duration)
Graph - Schedule Compliance, Safety Stats.

As far as the sharing of schedules...unfortunately, I do not own the Schedules. Since they are the sole property of the Owner, with due respect, I cannot share as it would create an ethical dilemna.

Mike